| The Last Exit |
Click for contentsSeptember 18, 2023: The Last Exit January 8, 2021: Whisphers in the Wind January 10, 2021: Lights Out for the City on the Hill January 7, 2021: The Last Straight Before The Global Crisis |
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What causes revolutions? When does the violence start? To find the answer, study one group: Dissatisfied, angry young men.
Nearly every revolution in human history was started by this cohort, and if you want to know how likely you are to have a revolution, ignore everything else and study the angry young men in your society. Why are they angry? How many of them are there? Do they communicate regularly? Do they have weapons? Are there political movements that address their grievances and defuse their anger, or are they mocked and shamed and at the point of boiling? Do they have a stake in society, and do they have incentives to maintain stability and keep things as they are or are they wholly disincentivized?
…We have had multiple missed exits to political solutions to violence, which I will describe below.

